
Some backing for Arcus's HIF2α bet

Arcus has bet on its HIF2α inhibitor casdatifan as part of a combination with Cabometyx rather than as monotherapy, but the latter setting is still key to gauging the molecule's overall potential. Updated findings from the phase 1 Arc-20 study were presented on Monday, zeroing in on a 100mg daily casdatifan dose, and showing an uptick in response rates – and toxicities – versus those presented at ASCO-GU in February. In essence, with another 12 months of data, Arcus has seen responses in all four additional late-line kidney cancer patients dosed, with two responses confirmed. The focus is increasingly on progression-free survival, given that small molecules often yield impressive-sounding responses that fail to be sustained, and here Evercore ISI's Jonathan Miller was expecting a result "at least in the mid to high teens; 17-18 months is good". Now, at 12.4 months' median follow-up, casdatifan 100mg still hasn't reached median PFS, which is surely a positive sign. Both this and ORR are better than Merck & Co's Welireg on a cross-trial basis, and PFS and safety data still appear to bode well for Arcus's efforts to combine the 100mg dose with Cabometyx in the Peak-1 phase 3 trial; Arcus stock opened up 8% on Monday.
Cross-trial comparison in HIF2α inhibition
Casdatifan 100mg daily | Welireg 120mg | ||
---|---|---|---|
Trial | Arc-20 | Litespark-005 | |
Cutoff | 30 Aug 2024 | 15 Aug 2025 | 1 Nov 2022 |
Efficacy-evaluable patients | 27 | 31 | 373 |
Confirmed ORR | 33% | 35%* | 22% |
mPFS | NR | NR | 5.6 mth |
Median follow-up | 5.0mth | 12.4mth | NA |
Serious treatment-emergent AEs | 24% | 31% | 38% |
Gr3+ treatment-related anaemia | 17% | 25% | 33% |
Gr3+ treatment-related hypoxia | 10% | 9% | 11% |
Note: *2 additional responders pending confirmation. Source: ASCO-GU, company statement & prescribing info.
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